Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.208400 11.768653 13.442536 15.366655 17.511906 19.824712 22.501155
2025-09-21 8.072918 10.170005 12.580749 15.536714 19.041924 23.043564 27.933890
2025-09-28 6.694650 9.036875 11.876031 15.529734 20.062040 25.452463 32.296634
2025-10-05 5.886154 8.419907 11.629317 15.925196 21.449450 28.234405 37.107912
2025-10-12 5.214013 7.861843 11.350981 16.186555 22.602844 30.704150 41.568611
2025-10-19 4.610779 7.306878 10.993407 16.268890 23.471176 32.793284 45.576984
2025-10-26 3.951982 6.586882 10.325984 15.849118 23.602362 33.880996 48.280563
2025-11-02 3.434334 6.007387 9.789555 15.544509 23.833627 35.066049 51.109044
2025-11-09 2.988277 5.481693 9.274803 15.213538 23.979184 36.104924 53.739448
2025-11-16 2.617001 5.029182 8.822841 14.926899 24.147535 37.151737 56.384183
2025-11-23 2.257579 4.552124 8.285806 14.461567 24.008992 37.734643 58.372302
2025-11-30 2.054656 4.319162 8.113319 14.537917 24.665097 39.458593 62.008132
2025-12-07 1.856669 4.075364 7.906319 14.549788 25.229379 41.081144 65.574692
2025-12-14 1.706250 3.901551 7.800645 14.713634 26.028816 43.070950 69.731062
2025-12-21 1.545016 3.686822 7.603578 14.706989 26.548637 44.647914 73.314295
2025-12-28 1.457374 3.606967 7.636580 15.085164 27.693223 47.200160 78.412801
2026-01-04 1.359665 3.494460 7.599288 15.335140 28.632615 49.459128 83.124196
2026-01-11 1.249016 3.340713 7.471310 15.413896 29.285366 51.284880 87.217611
2026-01-18 1.093064 3.066949 7.090429 15.012406 29.106868 51.787342 89.279306
2026-01-25 0.966748 2.842089 6.783445 14.721117 29.093551 52.539505 91.733925
2026-02-01 0.851862 2.627084 6.475724 14.404671 29.014502 53.172167 94.004704
2026-02-08 0.753477 2.437309 6.201556 14.130655 28.990444 53.883468 96.406494
2026-02-15 0.651755 2.222304 5.852891 13.685905 28.634365 54.025184 97.886982